Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.034443 0.040277 0.046704 0.054298 0.063011 0.072682 0.084217
2025-06-15 0.026596 0.034426 0.043863 0.056019 0.071203 0.089479 0.113072
2025-06-22 0.020425 0.028941 0.040049 0.055476 0.076202 0.102918 0.139768
2025-06-29 0.015735 0.024206 0.036075 0.053703 0.078952 0.113498 0.163943
2025-07-06 0.012614 0.020910 0.033307 0.052852 0.082476 0.125171 0.190665
2025-07-13 0.011127 0.019697 0.033240 0.055724 0.091490 0.145359 0.231491
2025-07-20 0.009768 0.018386 0.032735 0.057718 0.099255 0.164365 0.272431
2025-07-27 0.008095 0.016197 0.030402 0.056319 0.101300 0.174587 0.300665
2025-08-03 0.006879 0.014579 0.028747 0.055739 0.104479 0.186742 0.332945
2025-08-10 0.005728 0.012851 0.026594 0.053910 0.105163 0.194661 0.358763
2025-08-17 0.004842 0.011472 0.024857 0.052550 0.106421 0.203527 0.386822
2025-08-24 0.004247 0.010588 0.023936 0.052591 0.110201 0.217086 0.424200
2025-08-31 0.003590 0.009449 0.022348 0.051139 0.111064 0.225646 0.453815
2025-09-07 0.003350 0.009236 0.022692 0.053728 0.120221 0.250594 0.516136
2025-09-14 0.002946 0.008541 0.021862 0.053682 0.123991 0.265552 0.560831
2025-09-21 0.002510 0.007667 0.020474 0.052192 0.124520 0.274138 0.593852
2025-09-28 0.002184 0.007012 0.019492 0.051476 0.126607 0.286006 0.634374
2025-10-05 0.002081 0.006960 0.019995 0.054339 0.136968 0.315877 0.714005
2025-10-12 0.001943 0.006777 0.020130 0.056318 0.145516 0.342644 0.789325
2025-10-19 0.001680 0.006155 0.019001 0.054964 0.146104 0.352288 0.829214
2025-10-26 0.001483 0.005691 0.018226 0.054404 0.148511 0.366109 0.879177
2025-11-02 0.001270 0.005124 0.017055 0.052619 0.147678 0.372531 0.913359
2025-11-09 0.001101 0.004662 0.016106 0.051290 0.147821 0.381163 0.953122